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What are the key factors?
Personal mobility
The major driving factor behind increase vehicle ownership
is the desire for personal mobility. The distance travelled
per passenger is increasing by around 3% in EU countries
and a higher proportion of these journeys are made by
car (EC, 2002). Journeys by railway have declined from
around 70% in the 1950s to 17% in 1997, with a corresponding
increase in journeys by car. It is estimated that economic
growth will result in a 24% increase in demand for passenger
mobility. The desire for the perceived freedom of mobility
given by car ownership is a global phenomenon. Car ownership
is likely to increase rapidly in EU Newly-Associated
States where car ownership is seen as a sign of freedom
(EC, 2001) and there is a rapid rate of increase in
developing countries.
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